Why Betting Markets Are Better at Predicting the Future than Pundits and Polls

Biased polls and wishful thinking pervade the media consumption of many of us. There is a better way, however.

A version of this article has also been published by the Mises Institute.

https://mises.org/mises-wire/down-political-polling-prediction-markets

It is also available to read in Spanish:

https://fee.org.es/articulos/por-qu%C3%A9-los-mercados-son-mejores-para-predecir-el-futuro-que-los-expertos-y-las-encuestas/

https://mises.org/es/mises-wire/abajo-las-encuestas-politicas-arriba-los-mercados-de-prediccion